{"id":956,"date":"2025-12-09T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/smartaiunion.com\/?p=956"},"modified":"2025-12-08T16:22:19","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T08:22:19","slug":"%e6%a1%a5%e6%b0%b4%e5%88%9b%e5%a7%8b%e4%ba%ba-ray-dalio%ef%bc%9aai-%e4%b8%80%e8%be%b9%e9%80%a0%e7%94%9f%e4%ba%a7%e5%8a%9b%e5%a5%87%e8%bf%b9%ef%bc%8c%e4%b8%80%e8%be%b9%e6%8a%8a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smartaiunion.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/09\/956\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6865\u6c34\u521b\u59cb\u4eba Ray Dalio\uff1aAI \u4e00\u8fb9\u9020\u201c\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u5947\u8ff9\u201d\uff0c\u4e00\u8fb9\u628a\u6ce1\u6cab\u63a8\u9ad8"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

AI\u6ce1\u6cab\u98ce\u9669\u8b66\u793a\uff1a\u4f30\u503c\u900f\u652f\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u63a8\u9ad8\u3001\u5206\u5316\u52a0\u5267<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2025 \u5e74 12 \u6708 4 \u65e5\uff0c\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e3b\u6301\u4eba\u5411\u6865\u6c34\u57fa\u91d1\u521b\u59cb\u4eba Ray Dalio \u63d0\u95ee\uff1a\u6211\u4eec\u5982\u4f55\u770b\u5f85 AI \u5e26\u6765\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u53d8\u9769\uff1f\u5b83\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u76f8\u4f3c\u4e4b\u5904\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dalio \u7684\u56de\u7b54\u5f88\u7b80\u6d01\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u53ea\u662f AI \u8fd9\u6b21\u66f4\u5feb\u3001\u66f4\u5927\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5468\uff0cDalio \u8fde\u7eed\u51fa\u73b0\u5728 CNBC \u548c\u6c99\u7279\u672a\u6765\u6295\u8d44\u5cf0\u4f1a\uff0c\u5bc6\u96c6\u53d1\u51fa\u8b66\u544a\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AI \u786e\u5b9e\u5f3a\u5927\uff0c\u4f46\u4f30\u503c\u5df2\u7ecf\u900f\u652f\u4e86\u672a\u6765<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u63a8\u9ad8\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5982\u679c\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u7ea2\u5229\u65e0\u6cd5\u666e\u60e0\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u6495\u88c2\u4f1a\u6bd4\u6ce1\u6cab\u66f4\u5371\u9669<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u4ed6\u773c\u4e2d\uff0cAI \u65e2\u662f\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u5947\u8ff9\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u573a\u96c6\u4f53\u5e7b\u89c9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ece1971\u5e74\u5e03\u96f7\u987f\u68ee\u6797\u4f53\u7cfb\u74e6\u89e3\uff0c\u52302008\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u518d\u5230 2025 \u5e74\u7684 AI \u70ed\u6f6e\uff0c\u4ed6\u7528 50 \u5e74\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7b54\u6848\u5173\u4e4e\u6ce1\u6cab\u3001\u5173\u4e4e\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4e5f\u5173\u4e4e\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u672a\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7b2c\u4e00\u8282\uff5c\u201c\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u5947\u8ff9\u201d \u6709\u591a\u5c11\u88ab\u900f\u652f\u4e86\uff1f<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

AI \u786e\u5b9e\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u6548\u7387\u63d0\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff1a\u8fd9\u90e8\u5206\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u88ab\u8d44\u672c\u5e02\u573a\u63d0\u524d\u900f\u652f\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4eca\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0cAI \u6982\u5ff5\u80a1\u6301\u7eed\u66b4\u6da8\u3002\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u4e00\u5ea6\u7a81\u7834 50 \u500d\uff0cMeta\u3001\u5fae\u8f6f\u3001\u8c37\u6b4c\u63a5\u8fde\u5237\u65b0\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5e02\u573a\u8bb2\u7684\u662f\u672a\u6765\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46 Dalio \u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f AI \u80fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u63d0\u5347\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u63d0\u524d\u900f\u652f\u4e86\u5b83\u7684\u5168\u90e8\u4ef7\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ed6\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u8bbf\u8c08\u4e2d\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff1aAI \u521b\u9020\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u6709\u51e0\u767e\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u4f46\u6295\u5165\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u4e07\u4ebf\u7ea7\u522b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5931\u8861\uff1a\u94b1\u6295\u8fdb\u53bb\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u4ef7\u503c\u8fd8\u6ca1\u51fa\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8282\uff5c\u8c01\u662f\u201c\u6ce1\u6cab\u63a8\u624b\u201d\uff1f<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Dalio \u4e00\u5411\u4e0d\u662f\u60c5\u7eea\u5316\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46\u5728 2025 \u5e74 11 \u6708 20 \u65e5\u7684 CNBC \u76f4\u64ad\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u5f15\u7528\u4e86\u6865\u6c34\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u6ce1\u6cab\u6307\u6807\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u660e\u786e\u6570\u5b57\uff1a\u5f53\u524d\u8d44\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u5df2\u8fbe 80 %\u3002\u63a5\u8fd12000\u5e74\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u6ce1\u6cab\u5dc5\u5cf0\uff0c\u4e5f\u903c\u8fd1 1929 \u5e74\u5927\u5d29\u76d8\u524d\u591c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8f6e AI \u6295\u8d44\u70ed\uff0c\u95ee\u9898\u4e0d\u5728\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5728\u76c8\u5229\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e8e\uff1a \u5b83\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u4fe1\u7528\u6269\u5f20\u4e4b\u4e0a\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u5e7b\u89c9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\u3001AI \u5982\u4f55\u52a0\u901f\u4e86\u6ce1\u6cab\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2460 \u6760\u6746\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5bf9\u51b2\u6d88\u5931<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

AI \u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e07\u80fd\u5229\u597d\uff0c\u8d44\u91d1\u6d8c\u5165\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u3001GPU\u82af\u7247\u3001\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u4f46\u4f20\u7edf\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u5982\u9ec4\u91d1\u3001\u56fd\u503a\u53cd\u800c\u6d41\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2461\u60c5\u7eea\u8fc7\u70ed\uff0c\u5b9a\u4ef7\u6a21\u7cca<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u76f8\u4fe1 AI \u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u4e00\u5207\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u4ec0\u4e48\u53d8\u4e86\u3001\u8c01\u4e70\u5355\u3001\u591a\u5feb\u5151\u73b0\uff0c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u6e05\u6670\u8ba4\u77e5\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u6a21\u7cca\uff0c\u6b63\u662f\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u6e29\u5e8a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5f53\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u90fd\u5728\u7528\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u8bdd\u8c08\u8bba\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u90a3\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0d\u662f\u7406\u6027\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5171\u8bc6\u9677\u9631\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u9519\u89c9\uff1a\u672c\u8f6e\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u6700\u5927\u76f2\u70b9<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u8f6e AI \u70ed\u6f6e\u770b\u4f3c\u662f\u6280\u672f\u9a71\u52a8\u3002Dalio \u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u80cc\u540e\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u9690\u853d\u7684\u63a8\u624b\uff1a\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u9884\u671f\u4e0b\uff0c\u673a\u6784\u8d44\u91d1\u6d8c\u5165\u9ad8\u589e\u957f\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u800c AI \u6070\u597d\u6210\u4e3a\u6700\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u8f7d\u4f53\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6b64\u65f6\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5fae\u5999\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\uff1a\u8d44\u91d1\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u6280\u672f\u800c\u6765\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u4f30\u503c\u7a7a\u95f4\u800c\u6765\uff1b\u5e02\u573a\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u5728\u5b9a\u4ef7 AI \u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u5728\u8d4c\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u76f8\u4fe1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u9519\u89c9\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u672c\u8d28\uff1a\u4f60\u6301\u6709\u7684\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u5bf9\u6280\u672f\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dalio \u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u89c2\u70b9\u662f\uff1aAI \u52a0\u901f\u4e86\u8d44\u91d1\u6d8c\u5165\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f46\u540c\u65f6\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9\u6574\u4f53\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u8b66\u89c9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ed6\u4ece\u4e0d\u53cd\u5bf9\u6280\u672f\u521b\u65b0\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u63d0\u9192\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

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\u5173\u952e\u662f\u7406\u89e3\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u6280\u672f\u672c\u8eab\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\u7b2c\u4e09\u8282\uff5c\u5947\u8ff9\u4e0e\u6ce1\u6cab\uff1aAI \u628a\u4e16\u754c\u63a8\u5411\u4f55\u5904<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u6bcb\u5eb8\u7f6e\u7591\uff0cAI \u9769\u547d\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46 Dalio \u5173\u5fc3\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u6280\u672f\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u800c\u662f\uff1a\u8fd9\u80a1\u529b\u91cf\u4f1a\u628a\u4e16\u754c\u63a8\u5411\u4f55\u5904\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ed6\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u4e24\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1\u3001\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e00\uff1a\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u8dc3\u5347<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dalio \u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5728 AI \u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u65b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ed3\u6784\u4e2d\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u5934\u90e8\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u6548\u7387\u5c06\u57283-5\u5e74\u5185\u5b9e\u73b0\u6307\u6570\u5f0f\u589e\u957f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u51b3\u7b56\u66f4\u5feb \u2192 \u6267\u884c\u66f4\u51c6 \u2192 \u6210\u672c\u66f4\u4f4e \u2192 \u5229\u6da6\u66f4\u9ad8 \u2192 \u6295\u8d44\u66f4\u731b<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u662f\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u98de\u8f6e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46\u5173\u952e\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff1a\u8fd9\u79cd\u6548\u7387\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u80fd\u5426\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u7e41\u8363\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2\u3001\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e8c\uff1a\u8d22\u5bcc\u5206\u5316\u52a0\u5267<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0cDalio \u4e5f\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u786c\u5e01\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9762\uff1a\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u4e0d\u4f1a\u81ea\u52a8\u5e26\u6765\u516c\u5e73\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u5267\u8d2b\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ed6\u5217\u51fa\u51e0\u4e2a\u73b0\u5b9e\u4fe1\u53f7\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AI\u589e\u957f\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u6781\u5c11\u6570\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u524d10\u5927\u4f01\u4e1a\u5360\u636e\u4e86\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5e02\u503c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u666e\u901a\u52b3\u52a8\u8005\u5c1a\u672a\u5206\u4eab\u6548\u7387\u7ea2\u5229\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u9762\u4e34\u88ab\u66ff\u4ee3\u7684\u538b\u529b<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6559\u80b2\u548c\u5206\u914d\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u8fdc\u8fdc\u8ddf\u4e0d\u4e0a\u6280\u672f\u5206\u5c42\u7684\u901f\u5ea6<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e00\u8fb9\u662f\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\uff0c\u4e00\u8fb9\u662f\u8ddf\u4e0d\u4e0a\u7684\u5236\u5ea6\u5b89\u6392\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0d\u5bf9\u79f0\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u6700\u5371\u9669\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u771f\u6b63\u5f15\u53d1\u5371\u673a\u7684\uff0c\u4ece\u6765\u4e0d\u662f\u6280\u672f\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6280\u672f\u9020\u6210\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u5d29\u584c\u3002\u5728\u725b\u6d25\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\uff0cDalio \u5f3a\u8c03\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u5916\u90e8\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8d22\u5bcc\u5206\u914d\u5931\u8861\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3\u3001\u5bf9\u4e2a\u4f53\u7684\u542f\u793a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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