{"id":250,"date":"2025-10-15T00:40:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-14T16:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/smartaiunion.com\/?p=250"},"modified":"2025-10-14T19:38:04","modified_gmt":"2025-10-14T11:38:04","slug":"%e6%97%b6%e9%97%b4%e4%b8%80%e8%87%b4%e6%80%a7%e7%94%9f%e6%88%90%e5%bc%8f%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smartaiunion.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/15\/250\/","title":{"rendered":"\u65f6\u95f4\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u751f\u6210\u5f0f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

1 \u5f15\u8a00<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

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\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u8428\u5361\u5c14\u4e0e\u74e6\u6cd5\uff082024\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u8def\u5fb7\u7ef4\u5e0c\u7b49\u4eba\uff082025\uff09\u6240\u6307\u51fa\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u57fa\u4e8e\u751f\u6210\u5f0f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u95ee\u9898\u90fd\u9762\u4e34\u524d\u77bb\u504f\u5dee\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u6cd5\u5b66\u6311\u6218\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u6e90\u81ea\u6d77\u91cf\u6587\u672c\u8bed\u6599\u5e93\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8bed\u6599\u5e93\u4e2d\u5305\u542b\u4e86\u4e0e\u9884\u6d4b\u4efb\u52a1\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u672a\u6765\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u5f53\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4 <inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\tau<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u8d85\u51fa\u9884\u6d4b\u65f6\u95f4\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u524d\u77bb\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u6b64\u65f6\u635f\u5931\u51fd\u6570\u4e2d\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u6cc4\u9732\u9879\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u672c\u6587\u4e3a\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u66f4\u6613\u83b7\u53d6\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff1a\u9996\u4e2a\u65e0\u524d\u77bb\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u6307\u4ee4\u9075\u5faa\u5f0f\u804a\u5929\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u4e0e\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u4e24\u4e2a\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u5bf9\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u7cbe\u5fc3\u7b5b\u9009\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u6a21\u578b\u63a5\u89e6\u672a\u6765\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0cChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{\\tau}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff08\u5176\u4e2d < inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\tau \\in {1999,2000,2001,\\dots,2024}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09\u7edd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u83b7\u53d6\u4efb\u4f55\u5728 < inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\tau<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u4e4b\u540e\u51fa\u73b0\u6216\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c42\u9762\u53d8\u5f97\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4efb\u4f55 < inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\tau<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u96c6\uff0c\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u90fd\u80fd\u4e0e\u8bc4\u4f30\u96c6\u5b9e\u73b0\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u9694\u79bb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5728\u5f00\u53d1 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u7cfb\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u65b9\u9762\u4ed8\u51fa\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e0e\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7684\u82e5\u5e72\u6311\u6218\u4ecd\u9700\u91cd\u70b9\u8bf4\u660e\u3002\u5728\u7ef4\u6301\u7a33\u5065\u7684\u804a\u5929\u80fd\u529b\u4e0e\u786e\u4fdd\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u6839\u672c\u6027\u7684\u6743\u8861\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u53c2\u6570\u89c4\u6a21\u76f8\u8fd1\u7684 Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat \u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5176\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u91cf\u8fbe 2.2 \u4e07\u4ebf\u4e2a token\uff0c\u7ea6\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u57fa\u51c6\u6a21\u578b\u6240\u5904\u7406 700 \u4ebf\u4e2a token \u7684 31 \u500d\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u6700\u65e9\u7248\u672c\u7684 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5728 Alpaca \u6307\u4ee4\u9075\u5faa\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e2d\u7684\u80dc\u7387\u4e5f\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86 12%\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u5c3d\u7ba1\u53d7\u5230\u6570\u636e\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u8be5\u7cfb\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u4ecd\u5177\u5907\u5b9e\u9645\u5e94\u7528\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6211\u4eec\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\u57fa\u4e8e\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u7684\u7b5b\u9009\u7b97\u6cd5\u6548\u679c\u663e\u8457\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u627f\u8ba4\u5176\u5728\u7406\u8bba\u5c42\u9762\u5e76\u975e\u5b8c\u7f8e\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u5f00\u5c55\u7684\u4e25\u683c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e2d\uff0cChronoGPT-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\u59cb\u7ec8\u65e0\u6cd5\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u603b\u7edf\u4eba\u9009\u6216\u91cd\u5927\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u672a\u51fa\u73b0\u4efb\u4f55\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u6cc4\u9732\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u8d21\u732e\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u4e3a\u5404\u7c7b\u9884\u6d4b\u95ee\u9898\u4e2d\u5f00\u5c55\u65e0\u524d\u77bb\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u6d4b\u8bd5\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5b9e\u7528\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u5728https:\/\/huggingface.co\/manelalab<\/a> \u7f51\u7ad9\u516c\u5f00\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u7cfb\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u53ca\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u7814\u7a76\u754c\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u5e76\u672a\u63d0\u4f9b\u540c\u65f6\u6d88\u9664\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u6cc4\u9732\u4e0e\u4fdd\u7559\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u8bed\u8a00\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u5b8c\u7f8e\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u80fd\u591f\u786e\u5b9a\u9884\u6d4b\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e0b\u754c\uff0c\u52a9\u529b\u66f4\u6e05\u6670\u5730\u7406\u89e3\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u6027\u80fd\u3002\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u57fa\u4e8e\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7ec4\u5408\u6848\u4f8b\u4e2d\uff0c\u82e5\u5c06 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u89c6\u4e3a Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat\u3001Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct \u7b49\u66f4\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u53c2\u6570\u6570\u91cf\u6700\u591a\u4e3a\u5176\u4e24\u500d\uff0c\u4e14\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u91cf\u8fdc\u5927\u4e8e\u5b83\uff09\u7684\u65e0\u524d\u77bb\u504f\u5dee\u5bf9\u5e94\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u6d88\u9664\u6570\u636e\u6cc4\u9732\u540e\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11 54% \u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u56de\u62a5\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u5dee\u5f02\uff08\u5982 0.95 \u4e0e 1.76 \u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u6e90\u4e8e\u6a21\u578b\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u6bd4\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u504f\u5dee\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2 \u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0e\u6570\u636e<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u672c\u8282\u5c06\u4ecb\u7ecd\u6211\u4eec\u4e3a\u786e\u4fdd\u65e0\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u6cc4\u9732\u800c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u8be6\u7ec6\u8bf4\u660e\u6570\u636e\u7b5b\u9009\u6d41\u7a0b\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7528\u4e8e\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u4e0e\u56de\u62a5\u9884\u6d4b\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2.1 \u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u6d41\u7a0b\u65e8\u5728\u6ee1\u8db3\u8def\u5fb7\u7ef4\u5e0c\u7b49\u4eba\uff082025\uff09\u63d0\u51fa\u7684 \u201c\u65e0\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u6cc4\u9732\u534f\u8bae\u201d\u3002\u8be5\u534f\u8bae\u660e\u786e\u89c4\u5b9a\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u8bc4\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u6587\u672c\u90fd\u5fc5\u987b\u4e0e\u7528\u4e8e\u8bad\u7ec3\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6587\u672c\u5728\u7edf\u8ba1\u4e0a\u76f8\u4e92\u72ec\u7acb\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u9996\u5148\u5728\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u4e0e\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\uff08IFT\uff09\u4e24\u9636\u6bb5\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\u91cd\u65b0\u9610\u8ff0\u8be5\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u8bf4\u660e\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6570\u636e\u7b5b\u9009\u6d41\u7a0b\u5982\u4f55\u6ee1\u8db3\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u5404\u9879\u8981\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e0d\u76f8\u4ea4\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u8bed\u6599\u5e93<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u8bbe\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<display_LaTeX_Formula>t^{\\mathrm{pre}}(\\tau)=\\left{\\sigma\\in\\Sigma^{}:\\operatorname{date}(\\sigma)\\leq\\tau\\right},\\quad t^{\\mathrm{ift}}(\\tau)=\\left{\\sigma\\in\\Sigma_{\\text{inst }}^{<\/em>}:\\operatorname{date}(\\sigma)\\leq\\tau\\right},<\\display_LaTeX_Formula><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff081\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5176\u4e2d <inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\tau<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u540c\u7248\u672c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4efb\u610f\u6587\u672c\u7247\u6bb5 < inline_LaTeX_Formula>r<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff0c\u5b9a\u4e49\u5206\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u6307\u793a\u53d8\u91cf\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<display_LaTeX_Formula>t_{r}^{\\mathrm{pre}}=\\mathbf{1}\\big(r\\in t^{\\mathrm{pre}}(\\tau)\\big),\\quad t_{r}^{\\mathrm{ift}}=\\mathbf{1}\\big(r\\in t^{\\mathrm{ift}}(\\tau)\\big)<\\display_LaTeX_Formula><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff082\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5e76\u8bbe\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<display_LaTeX_Formula>t_{r}=\\max\\left{t_{r}^{\\mathrm{pre}},t_{r}^{\\mathrm{ift}}\\right}\\in{0,1}<\\display_LaTeX_Formula><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff083\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8868\u793a\u6587\u672c <inline_LaTeX_Formula>r<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u662f\u5426\u5c5e\u4e8e\u5408\u5e76\u540e\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u542b\u6cc4\u9732\u9879\u7684\u635f\u5931\u5206\u89e3<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u8003\u8651\u4ec5\u5305\u542b\u65e5\u671f\u5728 <inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\tau<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u6587\u6863\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u6837\u672c < inline_LaTeX_Formula>R_{>\\tau}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff0c\u4ee4 < inline_LaTeX_Formula>D_{r}=\\mathbf {1}\\left (r\\in R_{>\\tau}\\right)<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\u3002\u8bbe\u635f\u5931\u51fd\u6570\u4e3a < inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\ell (\\cdot,\\cdot)<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u4e3a < inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\hat {m}(r;t)<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff0c\u5219 < inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\hat {L}{\\tau}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u7684\u671f\u671b\u53ef\u8868\u793a\u4e3a\uff1a<\/em><display_LaTeX_Formula>E\\left[\\hat{L}<\/em>{\\tau}\\right]=\\underbrace{E\\left[\\ell\\left(Y_{r},\\hat{m}(r;t)\\right)\\right]}{\\text {\u771f\u5b9e\u6837\u672c\u5916\u635f\u5931}}-\\underbrace {E\\left [D<\/em>{r}\\left (\\frac {q_{T\\mid D}\\left (t_{r}\\right)}{q_{T}\\left (t_{r}\\right)}-1\\right)\\ell\\left (Y_{r},\\hat {m}(r;t)\\right)\\right]}_{\\text {\u6cc4\u9732\u9879 }},<\\display_LaTeX_Formula><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff084\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5176\u4e2d\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<display_LaTeX_Formula>q_{T}\\left(t_{r}\\right)=\\operatorname{Pr}\\left(t_{r}=1\\right),\\quad q_{T\\mid D}\\left(t_{r}\\right)=\\operatorname{Pr}\\left(t_{r}=1\\mid D_{r}=1\\right)<\\display_LaTeX_Formula><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff085\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5206\u522b\u4e3a\u6587\u672c <inline_LaTeX_Formula>r<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u4e2d\u7684\u65e0\u6761\u4ef6\u6982\u7387\u4e0e\u6761\u4ef6\u6982\u7387\u3002\u5f0f\uff084\uff09\u4e2d\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u671f\u671b\u5373\u4e3a\u6cc4\u9732\u9879\uff1b\u5f53\u4e14\u4ec5\u5f53\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<display_LaTeX_Formula>\\forall r:\\frac{q_{T\\mid D}\\left(t_{r}\\right)}{q_{T}\\left(t_{r}\\right)}=1,<\\display_LaTeX_Formula><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff086\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5373\u6ee1\u8db3\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u6027\u6761\u4ef6\u65f6\uff0c\u6cc4\u9732\u9879\u624d\u4f1a\u6d88\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5206\u9636\u6bb5\u5145\u5206\u6027<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u5f0f\uff083\uff09\u4e2d\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u6307\u793a\u53d8\u91cf <inline_LaTeX_Formula>t_{r}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u662f\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e0d\u76f8\u4ea4\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u5e76\u96c6\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5f53\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u4e0e\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u9636\u6bb5\u5206\u522b\u6ee1\u8db3\u72ec\u7acb\u6027\u6761\u4ef6\u65f6\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u72ec\u7acb\u6027\u5373\u53ef\u5f97\u5230\u4fdd\u8bc1\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<display_LaTeX_Formula>\\forall r:\\frac {q_{T\\mid D}\\left (t_{r}^{\\mathrm {pre}}\\right)}{q_{T}\\left (t_{r}^{\\mathrm {pre}}\\right)}=1\\quad\\text { \u4e14 }\\quad\\frac {q_{T\\mid D}\\left (t_{r}^{\\mathrm {ift}}\\right)}{q_{T}\\left (t_{r}^{\\mathrm {ift}}\\right)}=1.<\\display_LaTeX_Formula><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff087\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4ee5\u4f55\u7b49\u4eba\uff082025\uff09\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u7248\u672c ChronoGPT \u6a21\u578b\u4f5c\u4e3a\u57fa\u51c6\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u8bed\u6599\u5e93 <inline_LaTeX_Formula>T_{\\tau}^{\\text {pre }}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u7f51\u9875\u5feb\u7167\u3001\u5f52\u6863\u65b0\u95fb\u4e0e\u79d1\u5b66\u6587\u732e\u3002\u6bcf\u4efd\u6587\u6863\u90fd\u5e26\u6709\u53ef\u9a8c\u8bc1\u7684\u53d1\u5e03\u65f6\u95f4\u6233\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u65e5\u671f\u5728 < inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\tau<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u6587\u672c\u90fd\u4f1a\u88ab\u5254\u9664\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u77e5\u8bc6\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u4efb\u610f\u8bc4\u4f30\u6837\u672c < inline_LaTeX_Formula>r<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff0c\u90fd\u6709 < inline_LaTeX_Formula>t_{r}^{\\text {pre }}=0<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<display_LaTeX_Formula>q_{T}\\left(t_{r}^{\\mathrm{pre}}\\right)=0,\\quad q_{T\\mid D}\\left(t_{r}^{\\mathrm{pre}}\\right)=0,<\\display_LaTeX_Formula><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff088\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5f0f\uff087\uff09\u4e2d\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b49\u5f0f\u6210\u7acb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u91c7\u7528\u57fa\u4e8e\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u7684\u7b5b\u9009\u7b97\u6cd5\u3002\u5019\u9009\u7684\u6307\u4ee4 – \u54cd\u5e94\u5bf9\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u5206\u7c7b\u5668\u8fdb\u884c\u7b5b\u9009\u3002\u8be5\u5206\u7c7b\u5668\u57fa\u4e8e ChatGPT-4.1 \u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u63a5\u6536\u7279\u5b9a\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u540e\u8f93\u51fa\u4e8c\u8fdb\u5236\u6807\u7b7e\uff0c\u4ee5\u6807\u8bc6\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4e2d\u662f\u5426\u5305\u542b\u5728 <inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\tau<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u4e4b\u540e\u51fa\u73b0\u6216\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c42\u9762\u53d8\u5f97\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u3002\u53ea\u6709\u6807\u7b7e\u4e3a 0 \u7684\u6307\u4ee4 – \u54cd\u5e94\u5bf9\u624d\u4f1a\u88ab\u7eb3\u5165 < inline_LaTeX_Formula>t^{\\text {ift}}(\\tau)<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u4efb\u610f\u8bc4\u4f30\u6837\u672c < inline_LaTeX_Formula>r<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff0c\u90fd\u6709 < inline_LaTeX_Formula>t_{r}^{\\mathrm {ift}}=0<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff0c\u5f0f\uff087\uff09\u4e2d\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u7b49\u5f0f\u540c\u6837\u6210\u7acb\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5728 3.2 \u8282\u5bf9\u72ec\u7acb\u6027\u6761\u4ef6\u8fdb\u884c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2.2 \u6570\u636e<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u672c\u8282\u5c06\u4ecb\u7ecd\u7528\u4e8e\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u7684\u516c\u5f00\u7528\u6237 – \u52a9\u624b\u4ea4\u4e92\u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7528\u4e8e\u56de\u62a5\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u8d22\u7ecf\u65b0\u95fb\u4e13\u7ebf\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2.2.1 \u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u6570\u636e<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u8bed\u6599\u5e93\u5305\u542b\u8d85\u8fc7 42.5 \u4e07\u4e2a\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd – \u54cd\u5e94\u5bf9\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u4e09\u4e2a\u516c\u5f00\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5e76\u6309\u8ba4\u77e5\u8d1f\u8377\u4e0e\u5e8f\u5217\u957f\u5ea6\u9012\u589e\u7684\u987a\u5e8f\u6784\u5efa\u6210\u5b66\u4e60\u8bfe\u7a0b\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4ece\u62c9\u65bd\u5361\uff082024\uff09\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u9009\u53d6\u7b80\u5355\u3001\u77ed\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u5982\u62fc\u5199\u68c0\u67e5\u6216\u57fa\u7840\u6570\u5b66\u8fd0\u7b97\uff1b\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u52a0\u5165\u738b\u7b49\u4eba\uff082022\uff09\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e2d\u901a\u8fc7 GPT-3 \u81ea\u6307\u4ee4\u6280\u672f\u751f\u6210\u7684\u4e2d\u7b49\u957f\u5ea6\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\uff1b\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u7eb3\u5165\u5170\u4f2f\u7279\u7b49\u4eba\uff082024\uff09\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u827e\u4f26\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff08AllenAI\uff09\u7684 Tulu-3 SFT \u6df7\u5408\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6240\u6709\u6570\u636e\u6761\u76ee\u5747\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7b5b\u9009\uff1a\uff081\uff09\u5254\u9664\u975e\u82f1\u6587\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e0e\u4ee3\u7801\u7247\u6bb5\uff1b\uff082\uff09\u901a\u8fc7\u65f6\u95f4\u77e5\u8bc6\u7b5b\u9009\uff1a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6837\u672c\u90fd\u7531 GPT-4.1 \u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u7c7b\uff0c\u4ec5\u4fdd\u7559\u5206\u7c7b\u5668\u7ed9\u51fa\u6807\u7b7e 0\uff08\u201c\u77e5\u8bc6\u5728 2000 \u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u53ef\u5f97\u201d\uff09\u4e14\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u5f97\u5206\u4e3a 10\uff08\u6ee1\u5206\uff09\u7684\u6837\u672c\u3002\u8868 1 \u603b\u7ed3\u4e86\u6700\u7ec8\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9636\u6bb5<\/th>SFT \u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90<\/th>\u6837\u672c\u6570\u91cf<\/th>\u5e73\u5747\u5bf9\u8bdd\u957f\u5ea6<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
1<\/td>\u4ece\u5934\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\uff08LLMs-from-scratch\uff09<\/td>1,097<\/td>102<\/td><\/tr>
2<\/td>GPT-3 \u81ea\u751f\u6210\u6570\u636e<\/td>67,136<\/td>183<\/td><\/tr>
3<\/td>Tulu-3 SFT \u6df7\u5408\u6570\u636e\u96c6<\/td>356,886<\/td>2,513<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u8868 1\uff1a\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u6570\u636e\u96c6<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u6761\u76ee\u6309\u7167 Alpaca \u98ce\u683c\u7684\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u683c\u5f0f\u6574\u7406\u4e3a ChronoGPT \u7684\u8f93\u5165\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u4f20\u5165\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6837\u672c\u6761\u76ee\u793a\u4f8b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

{<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u63cf\u8ff0\u67d0\u9879\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u6307\u4ee4\uff0c\u8bf7\u64b0\u5199\u54cd\u5e94\u4ee5\u6070\u5f53\u5b8c\u6210\u8be5\u8bf7\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6307\u4ee4\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u8bc6\u522b\u4e0b\u5217\u5355\u8bcd\u7684\u6b63\u786e\u62fc\u5199\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8f93\u5165\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Ocassion<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u54cd\u5e94\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u6b63\u786e\u62fc\u5199\u4e3a \u201cOccasion\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

}<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2.2.2 \u8d22\u7ecf\u65b0\u95fb\u4e13\u7ebf\u6570\u636e<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u9053\u743c\u65af\u65b0\u95fb\u4e13\u7ebf\uff08Dow Jones Newswire\uff09\u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u8be5\u5b9e\u65f6\u65b0\u95fb\u4e13\u7ebf\u6db5\u76d6 2007 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u81f3 2023 \u5e74 7 \u6708\u7684\u6d77\u91cf\u8d22\u7ecf\u5e02\u573a\u65b0\u95fb\uff0c\u5305\u542b\u65b0\u95fb\u6807\u9898\u3001\u5b8c\u6574\u6587\u7ae0\u6587\u672c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u53d1\u5e03\u65f6\u95f4\u6233\u3002\u53c2\u8003\u4f55\u7b49\u4eba\uff082025\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u91cd\u70b9\u5173\u6ce8\u4f01\u4e1a\u7279\u5b9a\u65b0\u95fb\uff0c\u5c06\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u5185\u4e0e\u67d0\u5bb6\u4f01\u4e1a\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6240\u6709\u65b0\u95fb\u6807\u9898\u8fdb\u884c\u6c47\u603b\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b0\u95fb\u6570\u636e\u4e0e CRSP\uff08\u8bc1\u5238\u4ef7\u683c\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff09\u7684 t+1 \u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u56de\u62a5\u6570\u636e\u5408\u5e76\uff0c\u4ee5\u7814\u7a76\u80a1\u7968\u56de\u62a5\u7684\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3 \u7ed3\u679c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

3.1 \u6307\u4ee4\u9075\u5faa\u80fd\u529b\u8bc4\u4f30<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c\u5f62\u6210 ChronoGPT-Instruct-1999\u3001ChronoGPT-Instruct-2005\u3001ChronoGPT-Instruct-2010\u3001ChronoGPT-Instruct-2015\u3001ChronoGPT-Instruct-2020 \u4e0e ChronoGPT-Instruct-2024 \u7b49\u7248\u672c\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u7248\u672c\u5747\u57fa\u4e8e\u4f55\u7b49\u4eba\uff082025\uff09\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u5bf9\u5e94\u7248\u672c ChronoGPT \u6a21\u578b\u6784\u5efa\u3002\u6240\u6709\u7248\u672c\u5747\u91c7\u7528\u6807\u51c6\u7684\u63a9\u7801\u4ea4\u53c9\u71b5\u635f\u5931\u51fd\u6570\u8fdb\u884c\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a token \u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0c\u8be5\u635f\u5931\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u5316\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<display_LaTeX_Formula>\\mathcal{L}=-\\frac{1}{N}\\sum_{t=1}^{N}\\log p_{\\theta}\\left(y_{t}\\mid\\mathbf{x}_{<t}\\right),<\\display_LaTeX_Formula><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff089\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570 <inline_LaTeX_Formula>\\theta<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u901a\u8fc7\u4f18\u5316\u4ee5\u6700\u5927\u5316\u5728\u957f\u5ea6\u4e3a < inline_LaTeX_Formula>N<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u7684\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\uff0c\u751f\u6210\u4f4d\u7f6e < inline_LaTeX_Formula>t<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u5904\u771f\u5b9e token<inline_LaTeX_Formula>y_{t}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u7684\u6982\u7387 < inline_LaTeX_Formula>p_{\\theta}\\left (y_{t}\\mid\\mathbf {x}_{<t}\\right)<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\u51fd\u6570\u9f13\u52b1\u6a21\u578b\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u54cd\u5e94\u4e2d\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a token\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u6bcf\u4e2a\u76d1\u7763\u5fae\u8c03\uff08SFT\uff09\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u4f1a\u8bb0\u5f55 5% \u7559\u5b58\u6570\u636e\uff08\u4ece\u672a\u88ab\u4f18\u5316\u5668\u63a5\u89e6\u8fc7\uff09\u7684 token \u7ea7\u4ea4\u53c9\u71b5\u635f\u5931\u3002\u56fe 1 \u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4e09\u4e2a\u8bad\u7ec3\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u635f\u5931\u53d8\u5316\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u524d\u671f\u5feb\u901f\u4e0b\u964d\u3001\u540e\u671f\u7f13\u6162\u63d0\u5347\u7684\u5178\u578b\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u521d\u671f\u635f\u5931\u7684\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u6307\u4ee4\u9075\u5faa\u683c\u5f0f\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u9002\u5e94\uff0c\u800c\u540e\u671f\u9636\u6bb5\u5219\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u6a21\u578b\u901a\u8fc7\u5b66\u4e60\u8bfe\u7a0b\u987a\u5e8f\u6301\u7eed\u83b7\u53d6\u77e5\u8bc6\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff08\u56fe 1\uff1a\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u635f\u5931\u4e0e\u9a8c\u8bc1\u635f\u5931<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8be5\u56fe\u5c55\u793a\u4e86 ChronoGPT-1999 \u6a21\u578b\u5728\u4e09\u4e2a\u76d1\u7763\u5fae\u8c03\uff08SFT\uff09\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u52a8\u6001\u3002\u9636\u6bb5 1 \u4f7f\u7528 \u201c\u4ece\u5934\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u201d \u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u9636\u6bb5 2 \u4f7f\u7528 \u201cGPT-3 \u81ea\u751f\u6210\u201d \u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u9636\u6bb5 3 \u4f7f\u7528 \u201cTulu-3 SFT \u6df7\u5408\u201d \u6570\u636e\u96c6\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u56fe 2 \u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e86\u6240\u6709\u516d\u4e2a\u7248\u672c\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u6bcf\u4e2a\u8bad\u7ec3\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u9a8c\u8bc1\u635f\u5931\u3002\u4e0e\u4f55\u7b49\u4eba\uff082025\uff09\u5173\u4e8e\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u4ece\u65e9\u671f\u7248\u672c\u5230\u540e\u671f\u7248\u672c\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u6027\u80fd\u5448\u73b0\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u63d0\u5347\uff1a1999 \u7248\u672c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9a8c\u8bc1\u635f\u5931\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u66f4\u65b0\u7248\u672c\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u4e09\u4e2a\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u635f\u5931\u5747\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff08\u56fe 2\uff1a\u5404\u7248\u672c\u6307\u4ee4\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9a8c\u8bc1\u635f\u5931<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8be5\u56fe\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e86\u516d\u4e2a\u7248\u672c\u6a21\u578b\uff081999 \u5e74\u30012005 \u5e74\u30012010 \u5e74\u30012015 \u5e74\u30012020 \u5e74\u30012024 \u5e74\uff09\u5728\u4e09\u4e2a\u5b66\u4e60\u8bfe\u7a0b\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u9a8c\u8bc1\u635f\u5931\uff1a\u9636\u6bb5 1\uff08\u201c\u4ece\u5934\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u201d \u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u7b80\u5355\u4efb\u52a1\uff09\u3001\u9636\u6bb5 2\uff08\u201cGPT-3 \u81ea\u751f\u6210\u201d \u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u4e2d\u7b49\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u4efb\u52a1\uff09\u3001\u9636\u6bb5 3\uff08\u201cTulu-3 \u6df7\u5408\u201d \u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u590d\u6742\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4efb\u52a1\uff09\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff08\u56fe 3\uff1aChronoGPT-Instruct \u7684 Alpaca \u8bc4\u4f30\u7ed3\u679c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8be5\u56fe\u5c55\u793a\u4e86 1999 \u5e74\u81f3 2024 \u5e74\u5404\u7248\u672c\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u957f\u5ea6\u63a7\u5236\uff08LC\uff09\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0b\u7684\u5934\u5bf9\u5934\u80dc\u7387\u3002\u8bc4\u4f30\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e AlpacaFarm\uff0c\u57fa\u51c6\u6a21\u578b\u4e3a Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9a8c\u8bc1\u635f\u5931\u867d\u80fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6709\u6548\u53c2\u8003\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u540c\u65f6\u5305\u542b\u4e86\u8bed\u6cd5\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0e\u5b9e\u9645\u6307\u4ee4\u9075\u5faa\u80fd\u529b\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u901a\u8fc7\u4e0e Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat \u6a21\u578b\u5728 Alpaca \u957f\u5ea6\u63a7\u5236\uff08LC\uff09\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e2d\u8fdb\u884c\u5934\u5bf9\u5934\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc4\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\u6027\u80fd\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e AlpacaEval \u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e2d\u7684\u6bcf\u6761\u6307\u4ee4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5206\u522b\u751f\u6210\u5f85\u8bc4\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\u4e0e\u57fa\u51c6\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8f93\u51fa\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u7531\u81ea\u52a8\u8bc4\u4f30\u5668\u5224\u65ad\u504f\u597d\u3002\u82e5\u80dc\u7387\u4e3a 50%\uff0c\u5219\u8868\u660e\u5f85\u8bc4\u4f30\u6a21\u578b\u4e0e\u57fa\u51c6\u6a21\u578b\u6027\u80fd\u76f8\u5f53\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u56fe 3 \u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u5404\u7248\u672c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u80dc\u7387\uff1aChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{1999}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u7684\u80dc\u7387\u4e3a 12.59%\uff0c2005 \u5e74\u7248\u672c\u63d0\u5347\u81f3 13.19%\uff0c2010 \u5e74\u7248\u672c\u8fbe 16.21%\uff0c2024 \u5e74\u7248\u672c\u4ee5 16.79% \u7684\u80dc\u7387\u8fbe\u5230\u5cf0\u503c\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u7a33\u6b65\u63d0\u5347\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u66f4\u65b0\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u5f3a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6307\u4ee4\u9075\u5faa\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d 2024 \u5e74\u7248\u672c\u8868\u73b0\u6700\u4f73\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6027\u80fd\u6709\u6240\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u4f53\u80dc\u7387\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u8f83\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u91cf\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u5dee\u8ddd\uff1a\u57fa\u51c6\u6a21\u578b Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat \u7684\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u91cf\u7ea6\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u57fa\u51c6 ChronoGPT \u6a21\u578b\u7684 31 \u500d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3.2 \u65f6\u95f4\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u9a8c\u8bc1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\u9009\u4e3e\u5e74\u4efd<\/th><\/th><\/th><\/th><\/th><\/th><\/th>\u51c6\u786e\u7387<\/th><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
<\/td>1992<\/td>2000<\/td>2008<\/td>2016<\/td>2020<\/td>2024<\/td><\/td>\u622a\u6b62\u524d<\/td>\u622a\u6b62\u540e<\/td><\/tr>
\u6b63\u786e\u8f93\u51fa<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
GPT-2<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>3\/4<\/td>0\/2<\/td><\/tr>
GPT-2 XL<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u30fbA\u30fb\u52a0\u83f2\u5c14\u5fb7<\/td>\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u30fb\u9a6c\u8482\u65af<\/td><\/td>4\/4<\/td>0\/2<\/td><\/tr>
Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td>R\u30fb\uff08\u59d3\u540d\u4e0d\u5168\uff09<\/td><\/td>5\/5<\/td>0\/1<\/td><\/tr>
Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td>\u5361\u739b\u62c9\u30fb\u54c8\u91cc\u65af<\/td><\/td>5\/5<\/td>0\/1<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{\\text{Realtime}}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u2014<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u30fbF\u30fb\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea<\/td>elect2019:\uff08\u65e0\u6709\u6548\u59d3\u540d\uff09<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td><\/td>\u2014<\/td>0\/5<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{1999}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u514b\u6797\u987f \\nT\uff08\u59d3\u540d\u4e0d\u5168\uff09<\/td>\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c \\nT\uff08\u59d3\u540d\u4e0d\u5168\uff09<\/td>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u30fbF\u30fb\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea<\/td><\/td>1\/1<\/td>0\/5<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2000}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u30fbW\u30fb\uff08\u59d3\u540d\u4e0d\u5168\uff09<\/td><\/td>1\/2<\/td>0\/4<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2001}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u666e\u4eac \\nT\uff08\u975e\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\uff09<\/td><\/td>2\/2<\/td>0\/4<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2002}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>2\/2<\/td>0\/4<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2003}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>2\/2<\/td>0\/4<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2004}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u666e\u4eac \\nT\uff08\u975e\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\uff09<\/td><\/td>2\/2<\/td>0\/4<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2005}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>2\/2<\/td>0\/4<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2006}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>2\/2<\/td>0\/4<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2007}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>2\/2<\/td>0\/4<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2008}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>2\/3<\/td>0\/3<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2009}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>2\/3<\/td>0\/3<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2010}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u76d6\u8328\uff08\u975e\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\uff09<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u76d6\u8328\uff08\u975e\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\uff09<\/td><\/td>3\/3<\/td>0\/3<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2011}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fbH\u30fb\uff08\u59d3\u540d\u4e0d\u5168\uff09<\/td>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u30fbF\u30fb\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u76d6\u8328\uff08\u975e\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\uff09<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>3\/3<\/td>0\/3<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2012}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u76d6\u8328\uff08\u975e\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\uff09<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>3\/3<\/td>0\/3<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2013}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u30fbF\u30fb\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u76d6\u8328\uff08\u975e\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\uff09<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>3\/3<\/td>0\/3<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2014}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5df4\u62c9\u514b\u30fb\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c<\/td>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u30fbF\u30fb\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>3\/3<\/td>0\/3<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2015}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u30fbF\u30fb\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>2\/3<\/td>0\/3<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2016}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u9a6c\u4e01\u30fb\u8def\u5fb7\u30fb\u91d1\uff08\u975e\u603b\u7edf\uff09<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>2\/4<\/td>0\/2<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2017}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u30fbF\u30fb\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea<\/td>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u30fb\u5361\u897f\u5947\uff08\u672a\u5f53\u9009\uff09<\/td><\/td>3\/4<\/td>0\/2<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2018}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>3\/4<\/td>0\/2<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2019}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>elect2019:\uff08\u65e0\u6709\u6548\u59d3\u540d\uff09<\/td>\u7ea6\u7ff0\u30fb\u5361\u897f\u5947\uff08\u672a\u5f53\u9009\uff09<\/td><\/td>3\/4<\/td>0\/2<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2020}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td><\/td>3\/5<\/td>0\/1<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2021}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td><\/td>4\/5<\/td>0\/1<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2022}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td><\/td>4\/5<\/td>0\/1<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2023}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td><\/td>4\/5<\/td>0\/1<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2024}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td>\u6bd4\u5c14\u30fb\u514b\u6797\u987f<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u4e54\u6cbb\u30fbW\u30fb\u5e03\u4ec0<\/td>\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u30fb\u7279\u6717\u666e<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td>\u4e54\u30fb\u62dc\u767b<\/td><\/td>4\/6<\/td>\u2014<\/td><\/tr>
ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{1999}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u81f3 ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2024}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td>67\/83<\/td>0\/73<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u8868 2\uff1aChronoGPT-Instruct \u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a token \u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8be5\u8868\u5c55\u793a\u4e86 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a token \u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u683c\u5f0f\u4e3a \u201c\u5217\u51fa\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u53ca\u5176\u524d\u4e09\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u201d\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u9700\u9884\u6d4b\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a\u7f3a\u5931\u9879 \u2014\u2014 \u6700\u65b0\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u59d3\u540d\u3002\u8f93\u5165\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u7ed3\u6784\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5386\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\uff08\u6309\u65f6\u95f4\u987a\u5e8f\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

{year<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{p-3}+1<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>} \u5e74\u5c31\u804c\uff1a{name<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{p-3}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>} \u603b\u7edf<\/p>\n\n\n\n

{year<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{p-2}+1<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>} \u5e74\u5c31\u804c\uff1a{name<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{p-2}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>} \u603b\u7edf<\/p>\n\n\n\n

{year<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{p-1}+1<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>} \u5e74\u5c31\u804c\uff1a{name<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{p-1}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>} \u603b\u7edf<\/p>\n\n\n\n

{year<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{p}+1<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>} \u5e74\u5c31\u804c\uff1a\u603b\u7edf<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8868\u4e2d\u5448\u73b0\u4e86 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u7cfb\u5217\u5404\u7248\u672c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u5305\u542b\u6070\u597d\u4e24\u4e2a token\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u9009\u62e9\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6b65\u9aa4\u4e2d\u6982\u7387\u6700\u9ad8\u7684 token \u751f\u6210\u3002\u7070\u8272\u9634\u5f71\u90e8\u5206\u8868\u793a\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u6d89\u53ca\u6a21\u578b\u77e5\u8bc6\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u5e74\u4efd\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u603b\u7edf\u5f53\u9009\u4f46\u5c1a\u672a\u5c31\u804c\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u5e74\u4efd\uff09\u3002\u84dd\u8272\u9ad8\u4eae\u90e8\u5206\u4e3a\u6b63\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u4e3a\u4f5c\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u8868\u4e2d\u8fd8\u5305\u542b\u4e86 GPT-2\u3001GPT-2 XL\uff082019 \u5e74\u53d1\u5e03\uff09\u3001Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct\uff082023 \u5e74\u53d1\u5e03\uff09\u4e0e Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat\uff082024 \u5e74\u53d1\u5e03\uff09\u7684\u8f93\u51fa\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| | \u4e8b\u4ef6\u5e74\u4efd | \u8f93\u5165\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd | | \u6b63\u786e\u8f93\u51fa |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

|——–|———-|————| |———-|<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| \u9762\u677f A\uff1a\u8f93\u5165\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd | 2001 | \u300a\u8428\u73ed\u65af – \u5965\u514b\u65af\u5229\u6cd5\u6848\u300b\u662f\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9 2001 \u5e74\u5b89\u7136\u516c\u53f8\u7684____\u800c\u51fa\u53f0\u7684 | | \u4e11\u95fb |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| | 2003 | 2003 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e00\u573a\u91cd\u5927\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5371\u673a\u6e90\u4e8e\u540d\u4e3a____\u7684\u75c5\u6bd2\u7206\u53d1 | | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| | 2008 | 2008 \u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d7____\u4e3b\u5bfc\uff08\u6307\u6b21\u8d37\u76f8\u5173\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | | \u5371\u673a |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| | 2016 | 2016 \u5e74\uff0c\u56f4\u7ed5\u540d\u4e3a \u201c\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u201d \u7684\u5168\u6c11\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8be5\u6295\u7968\u5373\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27____ | | \u516c\u6295\uff08referendum\uff09 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| | 2020 | 2020 \u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u540d\u4e3a \u201c\u201d \u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u5371\u673a\u906d\u53d7\u91cd\u521b | | \u65b0\u51a0\uff08COVID\/coronavirus\uff09 |<\/strong>| | 2022 | 2022 \u5e74\uff0c\u751f\u6210\u5f0f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u662f\u540d\u4e3a \u201c<\/strong>\u201d \u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7684\u53d1\u5e03 | | ChatGPT |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| | \u4e8b\u4ef6\u5e74\u4efd | | | | | | | \u51c6\u786e\u7387 | |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| \u9762\u677f B\uff1a\u8f93\u51fa\u9884\u6d4b | 2001 | 2003 | 2008 | 2016 | 2020 | 2022 | | \u622a\u6b62\u524d | \u622a\u6b62\u540e |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| \u6b63\u786e\u8f93\u51fa | \u4e11\u95fb | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a | \u516c\u6295\uff08referendum\uff09 | \u65b0\u51a0\uff08COVID\/coronavirus\uff09 | ChatGPT | | | |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| GPT-2 | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\\n\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u57fa\u5b54\u80af\u96c5\u70ed\uff08chikungunya\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u6295\u7968\uff0c\u4f34\u968f\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u5927\u8427\u6761\u201d\uff08Great Recession\uff0c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5e74\u4efd\u9519\u8bef\uff09 | \u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff08The AI Bot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 2\/4 | 0\/2 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| GPT-2 XL | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5728\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09\uff0c\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\u82f1\u56fd\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201c\u5927\u8427\u6761\u201d\uff08Great Recession\uff0c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5e74\u4efd\u9519\u8bef\uff09 | \u201c Alexa\u201d\uff08\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | | 3\/4 | 0\/2 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09\uff08\uff08\u62ec\u53f7\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u516c\u6295\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u65b0\u51a0\uff08COVID-19\uff09 | LLaMA\uff08\u53e6\u4e00\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 5\/6 | \u2014 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u516c\u6295\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u65b0\u51a0\uff08COVID-1\uff0c\u62fc\u5199\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | ChatGPT | | 6\/6 | \u2014 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{\\text {Realtime}}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u6cd5\u6848\uff08ment Act\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201cH\uff08\u5185\u5bb9\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | -Elli\uff08\u5185\u5bb9\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u7532\u578b H1N1 \u6d41\u611f\uff08H1N\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u201c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u52a9\u624b\u201d\uff08AI Assistant\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | \u2014 | 0\/6 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{1999}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u6cd5\u6848\uff08ies Act\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201cV\uff08\u5185\u5bb9\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\u5e02\u573a\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08\u975e\u4e8b\u4ef6\u540d\u79f0\uff09 | \u201c\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u201d\uff08Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | \u2014 | 0\/6 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2000}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u6cd5\u6848\uff08ment Act\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u57c3\u535a\u62c9\u75c5\u6bd2\uff08\u975e 2003 \u5e74\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\u5e02\u573a\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u201d\uff08Asian Crisis\uff0c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5e74\u4efd\u9519\u8bef\uff09 | \u201c\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u201d\uff08Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | \u2014 | 0\/6 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2001}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u5371\u673a\uff08ment Crisis in\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\uff08\u5185\u5bb9\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\uff08\u4ec5\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff08The Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 0\/1 | 0\/5 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2002}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201cH\uff08\u5185\u5bb9\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\u5e02\u573a\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd – 1\uff08AI-1\uff0c\u975e\u771f\u5b9e\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 1\/1 | 0\/5 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2003}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u6295\u7968\uff08vote\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u201c\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u201d\uff08Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | | 2\/2 | 0\/4 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2004}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09\uff0c\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u9acb\u5173\u8282\uff08hip\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u65e0\u5173\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u201c\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u201d\uff08Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | | 2\/2 | 0\/4 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2005}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09\uff0c\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\uff08\u4ec5\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u201c\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u201d\uff08Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | | 2\/2 | 0\/4 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2006}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\uff08\u4ec5\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u201c\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u201d\uff08Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | | 2\/2 | 0\/4 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2007}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09\uff0c\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\uff08\u4ec5\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u201c\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u201d\uff08Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | | 2\/2 | 0\/4 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2008}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\uff08\u4ec5\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u201c\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u201d\uff08Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | | 3\/3 | 0\/3 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2009}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\uff08\u4ec5\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u975e\u5178\u201d\uff08SARS\uff0c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5e74\u4efd\u9519\u8bef\uff09 | \u201c\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u201d\uff08Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | | 3\/3 | 0\/3 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2010}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u6295\u7968\uff08vote\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201c\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Spanish flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\uff08The Language Model\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 3\/3 | 0\/3 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2011}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u6295\u7968\uff08vote\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\uff08The Language Model\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 3\/3 | 0\/3 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2012}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u6295\u7968\uff08vote\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\uff08The Language Model\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 3\/3 | 0\/3 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2013}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u6295\u7968\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u56fe\u7075\u6d4b\u8bd5\uff08The Turing Test\uff0c\u975e\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 3\/3 | 0\/3 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2014}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u5e74\u5ea6\uff08of the year\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201c\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Spanish flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u56fe\u7075\u6d4b\u8bd5\uff08The Turing Test\uff0c\u975e\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 3\/3 | 0\/3 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2015}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | -Elli\uff08\u5185\u5bb9\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201c\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Spanish flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\uff08AI Language Model\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 3\/3 | 0\/3 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2016}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u3002\u6b27\u76df\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff08The Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 3\/4 | 0\/2 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2017}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u516c\u6295\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff08The Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 4\/4 | 0\/2 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2018}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u516c\u6295\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Asian flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff08The Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 4\/4 | 0\/2 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2019}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u516c\u6295\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u7532\u578b H1N1 \u6d41\u611f\uff08H1N\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff08The Chatbot\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 4\/4 | 0\/2 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2020}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS-\uff0c\u5185\u5bb9\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u516c\u6295\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u201c\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u6d41\u611f\u201d\uff08Spanish flu\uff0c\u975e\u6b63\u786e\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09 | \u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\uff08AI Language Model\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 4\/5 | 0\/1 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2021}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS in\uff0c\u5185\u5bb9\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u516c\u6295\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u65b0\u51a0\uff08coronav\uff0c\u62fc\u5199\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u52a9\u624b\u201d\uff08AI Assistant\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 5\/5 | 0\/1 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2022}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u516c\u53f8\u5012\u95ed\uff08Corporation collapse\uff0c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08the SARS\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u516c\u6295\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u65b0\u51a0\uff08coronav\uff0c\u62fc\u5199\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | \u201c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u52a9\u624b\u201d\uff08AI Assistant\uff0c\u975e\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09 | | 5\/6 | \u2014 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{2023}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09\uff0c\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u516c\u6295\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u65b0\u51a0\uff08coronav\uff0c\u62fc\u5199\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | ChatGPT | | 6\/6 | \u2014 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>{2024}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | \u4e11\u95fb\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u975e\u5178\uff08SARS\uff09\uff0c\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u5371\u673a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u516c\u6295\u3002\uff08\u542b\u6807\u70b9\uff09 | \u65b0\u51a0\uff08COVID-\uff0c\u62fc\u5199\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\uff09 | ChatGPT | | 6\/6 | \u2014 |<\/em>| ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/em>{1999}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u81f3 ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{2024}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula> | | | | | | | | 76\/80 | 0\/76 |<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8868 3\uff1aChronoGPT-Instruct \u5bf9\u91cd\u5927\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a token \u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8be5\u8868\u5c55\u793a\u4e86 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e0d\u540c\u5e74\u4efd\u91cd\u5927\u5386\u53f2\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a token \u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u9762\u677f A \u5217\u51fa\u4e86\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u8f93\u5165\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\uff0c\u9762\u677f B \u5448\u73b0\u4e86 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u7cfb\u5217\u5404\u7248\u672c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u5305\u542b\u6070\u597d\u4e09\u4e2a token\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u9009\u62e9\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6b65\u9aa4\u4e2d\u6982\u7387\u6700\u9ad8\u7684 token \u751f\u6210\u3002\u7070\u8272\u9634\u5f71\u90e8\u5206\u8868\u793a\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u6d89\u53ca\u6a21\u578b\u77e5\u8bc6\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u84dd\u8272\u9ad8\u4eae\u90e8\u5206\u4e3a\u6b63\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u4e3a\u4f5c\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u8868\u4e2d\u8fd8\u5305\u542b\u4e86 GPT-2\u3001GPT-2 XL\uff082019 \u5e74\u53d1\u5e03\uff09\u3001Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct\uff082023 \u5e74\u53d1\u5e03\uff09\u4e0e Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat\uff082024 \u5e74\u53d1\u5e03\uff09\u7684\u8f93\u51fa\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u7b5b\u9009\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u65f6\u683c\u5916\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u4ec5\u7eb3\u5165\u7279\u5b9a\u65e5\u671f\u524d\u53ef\u5f97\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u8bef\u5dee\u3002\u8bef\u5dee\u53ef\u80fd\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u6216\u5fae\u8c03\u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff1a\u5728\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\uff0c\u51fa\u7248\u7269\u65e5\u671f\u8bb0\u5f55\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u4e0d\u51c6\u786e\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5370\u5237\u8d44\u6599\u901a\u8fc7\u5149\u5b66\u5b57\u7b26\u8bc6\u522b\uff08OCR\uff09\u6570\u5b57\u5316\u65f6\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u5206\u914d\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6233\uff09\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u672c\u4e0d\u5e94\u5728\u6307\u5b9a\u65f6\u95f4\u53ef\u5f97\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u88ab\u610f\u5916\u7eb3\u5165\uff1b\u5728\u5fae\u8c03\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u5206\u7c7b\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7531 GPT-4.1 \u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u5176\u53ef\u80fd\u8bef\u5224\u67d0\u4e9b\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd – \u54cd\u5e94\u5bf9\u6240\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u662f\u5426\u6765\u81ea 2000 \u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u524d\u77bb\u504f\u5dee\uff0c\u4f7f\u6a21\u578b\u610f\u5916\u63a5\u89e6\u5230\u5728\u6307\u5b9a\u8bad\u7ec3\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u540e\u624d\u5e94\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u4f55\u7b49\u4eba\uff082025\uff09\u901a\u8fc7\u6d89\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u5386\u4efb\u603b\u7edf\u4e0e\u4e0d\u540c\u5e74\u4efd\u91cd\u5927\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u6587\u672c\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e86 ChronoGPT \u7cfb\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6cc4\u9732\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u672a\u53d1\u73b0\u4efb\u4f55\u6cc4\u9732\u8bc1\u636e\u3002\u5728\u672c\u8282\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9488\u5bf9 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\u91cd\u590d\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u9a8c\u8bc1\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u4ee5\u68c0\u9a8c\u6307\u4ee4\u5fae\u8c03\u8fc7\u7a0b\u662f\u5426\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u989d\u5916\u7684\u6cc4\u9732\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8868 2 \u5448\u73b0\u4e86\u9488\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u8868 3 \u5448\u73b0\u4e86\u9488\u5bf9\u91cd\u5927\u4e8b\u4ef6\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u4e24\u5f20\u8868\u4e2d\uff0c\u53f3\u4e0a\u89d2\u7070\u8272\u9634\u5f71\u533a\u57df\u4ee3\u8868\u77e5\u8bc6\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u53f3\u4e0b\u89d2\u975e\u9634\u5f71\u533a\u57df\u4ee3\u8868\u77e5\u8bc6\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u84dd\u8272\u9ad8\u4eae\u90e8\u5206\u4e3a\u6b63\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u6bcf\u4e2a ChronoGPT-Instruct \u7248\u672c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u8303\u56f4\u5185\uff0c\u8be5\u7cfb\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u603b\u7edf\u9884\u6d4b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e2d\u6b63\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u4e86 67\/83 \u4e2a\u6837\u672c\uff0c\u5728\u91cd\u5927\u4e8b\u4ef6\u9884\u6d4b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e2d\u6b63\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u4e86 76\/80 \u4e2a\u6837\u672c\u3002\u77e5\u8bc6\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u9ad8\u51c6\u786e\u7387\uff0c\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\u77e5\u8bc6\u7684\u8d28\u91cf\u4e0e\u65f6\u95f4\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5728\u7070\u8272\u9634\u5f71\u6240\u793a\u7684\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6240\u6709 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\u5747\u672a\u80fd\u6b63\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u4efb\u4f55\u672a\u6765\u603b\u7edf\u4eba\u9009\u6216\u91cd\u5927\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ed3\u679c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u7528\u4e8e\u8bad\u7ec3\u6216\u5fae\u8c03\u6211\u4eec\u65f6\u95f4\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6587\u672c\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u6cc4\u9732\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

3.3 \u57fa\u4e8e\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7ec4\u5408<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u4f55\u7b49\u4eba\uff082025\uff09\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u53c2\u8003\u9648\u7b49\u4eba\uff082023\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0cChronoGPT \u53ef\u901a\u8fc7\u5d4c\u5165\u751f\u6210\u5177\u6709\u76c8\u5229\u6f5c\u529b\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4f46\u57fa\u4e8e\u65f6\u95f4\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u80fd\u5426\u5b9e\u73b0\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u4ecd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f85\u89e3\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6d1b\u4f69\u65af – \u5229\u62c9\u4e0e\u5510\uff082023\uff09\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u77e5\u8bc6\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u540e\u7684\u6709\u9650\u65f6\u95f4\u6bb5\u5185\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u5f15\u5bfc\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u751f\u6210\u4ea4\u6613\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u4e0d\u5f15\u5165\u524d\u77bb\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\u5b9e\u73b0\u7a33\u5065\u6548\u679c\u3002\u501f\u52a9 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e00\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u62d3\u5c55\u81f3\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8303\u56f4\uff082007 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u81f3 2023 \u5e74 7 \u6708\uff09\uff0c\u5f00\u5c55\u57fa\u4e8e\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u6784\u5efa\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e3a\u5b9e\u65bd\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53c2\u8003\u6d1b\u4f69\u65af – \u5229\u62c9\u4e0e\u5510\uff082023\uff09\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5bf9\u6240\u6709\u6709\u65b0\u95fb\u8986\u76d6\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u5728 \u201c\u80a1\u7968 – \u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u201d \u5c42\u9762\u7684\u8d22\u7ecf\u65b0\u95fb\u6807\u9898\u5e94\u7528\u4ee5\u4e0b\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

{ ### \u6307\u4ee4\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5c06\u8be5\u65b0\u95fb\u6807\u9898\u5bf9\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u7968\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5f52\u7c7b\u4e3a \u201c\u6709\u5229\u201d\uff08FAVORABLE\uff09\u3001\u201c\u4e0d\u5229\u201d\uff08UNFAVORABLE\uff09\u6216 \u201c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u201d\uff08UNCLEAR\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8f93\u5165\uff1a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

{\u65b0\u95fb\u6807\u9898}<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u54cd\u5e94\uff1a }<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6839\u636e\u5927\u578b\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\u7ed3\u679c\u6784\u5efa\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\uff1a\u6839\u636e\u6a21\u578b\u751f\u6210\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5355\u8bcd\uff0c\u5c06\u80a1\u7968\u5f52\u5165 \u201c\u6709\u5229\u65b0\u95fb\u7ec4\u5408\u201d\uff08<inline_LaTeX_Formula>H<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09\u6216 \u201c\u4e0d\u5229\u65b0\u95fb\u7ec4\u5408\u201d\uff08<inline_LaTeX_Formula>L<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09\uff1b\u82e5\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5355\u8bcd\u65e2\u975e \u201c\u6709\u5229\u201d\uff08favorable\uff09\u4e5f\u975e \u201c\u4e0d\u5229\u201d\uff08unfavorable\uff09\uff0c\u5219\u5c06\u80a1\u7968\u5f52\u5165 \u201c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u7ec4\u5408\u201d\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u505a\u591a \u201c\u6709\u5229\u65b0\u95fb\u7ec4\u5408\u201d\u3001\u505a\u7a7a \u201c\u4e0d\u5229\u65b0\u95fb\u7ec4\u5408\u201d\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u591a\u7a7a\u7ec4\u5408\uff08<inline_LaTeX_Formula>H-L<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6211\u4eec\u57fa\u4e8e ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{\\text {Realtime}}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u6a21\u578b\u8bc4\u4f30\u8be5\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u4e0e\u5fae\u8c03\u5b8c\u5168\u57fa\u4e8e\u9884\u6d4b\u5e74\u4efd\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u524d\u77bb\u504f\u5dee\u3002\u4e3a\u4f5c\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u7eb3\u5165\u4e86 Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat\u3001Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct \u4e0e Llama-3.2-1B-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e0e ChronoGPT-Instruct \u53c2\u6570\u89c4\u6a21\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u7684\u662f Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat \u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5176\u53c2\u6570\u6570\u91cf\u6bd4\u524d\u8005\u591a 20%\uff1b\u89c4\u6a21\u66f4\u5927\u7684 Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u53c2\u6570\u6570\u91cf\u4e3a\u524d\u8005\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u5bf9\u6bd4\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8bad\u7ec3\u6570\u636e\u91cf\u5747\u8fdc\u5927\u4e8e ChronoGPT-Instruct\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/th>ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{\\text{Realtime}}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula><\/th><\/th><\/th>Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat<\/th><\/th><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
<\/td>\u5747\u503c\uff08Mean\uff09<\/td>\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\uff08SD\uff09<\/td>\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\uff08SR\uff09<\/td>\u5747\u503c\uff08Mean\uff09<\/td>\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\uff08SD\uff09<\/td>\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\uff08SR\uff09<\/td><\/tr>
\u4e0d\u5229\u7ec4\u5408\uff08<inline_LaTeX_Formula>L<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09<\/td>1.35<\/td>24.53<\/td>0.05<\/td>-1.67<\/td>25.90<\/td>-0.06<\/td><\/tr>
\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u7ec4\u5408<\/td>0.14<\/td>29.03<\/td>0.00<\/td>7.20<\/td>78.95<\/td>0.09<\/td><\/tr>
\u6709\u5229\u7ec4\u5408\uff08<inline_LaTeX_Formula>H<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09<\/td>9.51<\/td>23.33<\/td>0.41<\/td>10.55<\/td>22.72<\/td>0.46<\/td><\/tr>
\u591a\u7a7a\u7ec4\u5408\uff08<inline_LaTeX_Formula>H-L<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09<\/td>8.17<\/td>8.63<\/td>0.95<\/td>12.21<\/td>8.00<\/td>1.53<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct<\/td><\/td><\/td>Llama-3.2-1B-Instruct<\/td><\/td><\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>\u5747\u503c\uff08Mean\uff09<\/td>\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\uff08SD\uff09<\/td>\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\uff08SR\uff09<\/td>\u5747\u503c\uff08Mean\uff09<\/td>\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\uff08SD\uff09<\/td>\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\uff08SR\uff09<\/td><\/tr>
\u4e0d\u5229\u7ec4\u5408\uff08<inline_LaTeX_Formula>L<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09<\/td>-1.11<\/td>25.68<\/td>-0.04<\/td>4.67<\/td>23.64<\/td>0.20<\/td><\/tr>
\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u7ec4\u5408<\/td>6.71<\/td>23.17<\/td>0.29<\/td>14.01<\/td>23.04<\/td>0.61<\/td><\/tr>
\u6709\u5229\u7ec4\u5408\uff08<inline_LaTeX_Formula>H<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09<\/td>13.46<\/td>23.31<\/td>0.58<\/td>7.31<\/td>23.91<\/td>0.31<\/td><\/tr>
\u591a\u7a7a\u7ec4\u5408\uff08<inline_LaTeX_Formula>H-L<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09<\/td>14.58<\/td>8.31<\/td>1.76<\/td>2.64<\/td>6.91<\/td>0.38<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u8868 4\uff1a\u57fa\u4e8e\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7ec4\u5408\u7ee9\u6548<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\uff08\u56fe 4\uff1a\u4e0d\u540c\u7248\u672c ChronoGPT-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u7ee9\u6548<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8be5\u56fe\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4f7f\u7528 ChronoGPT-Instruct \u5404\u7248\u672c\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u591a\u7a7a\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\uff0cx \u8f74\u4e3a\u5404\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6240\u7528\u6587\u672c\u6570\u636e\u7684\u622a\u6b62\u65f6\u95f4\u70b9\u3002\u84dd\u8272\u865a\u7ebf\u4ee3\u8868 ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{\\text {Realtime}}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula > \u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7ee9\u6548\uff0c\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u91c7\u7528\u9884\u6d4b\u5e74\u4efd\u524d\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u7248\u672c\u3002\u9634\u5f71\u533a\u57df\u4ee3\u8868 95% \u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8868 4 \u5448\u73b0\u4e86\u57fa\u4e8e\u63d0\u793a\u8bcd\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u7ee9\u6548\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u5b9e\u65f6\u7248\u672c\uff08ChronoGPT-Instruct<inline_LaTeX_Formula>_{\\text {Realtime}}<\\inline_LaTeX_Formula>\uff09\u7684\u590f\u666e\u6bd4\u7387\u4e3a 0.95\uff0c\u4f18\u4e8e Llama-3.2-1B-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u53ca\u89c4\u6a21\u66f4\u5927\u7684 Qwen-1.5-1.8B-Chat \u4e0e Llama-3.2-3B-Instruct \u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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